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2024-12-13 22:58:23

On the eve of the release of CPI data in November, a newly released report said that the leadership of the Bureau of Labor Statistics should be responsible for a series of mistakes this year. These mistakes brought the institution under scrutiny. However, the report issued by an expert team composed of government and private sector members said that none of these incidents had anything to do with the quality or accuracy of the agency's core data work. The report added that no potential motives for dishonesty or malice were found. Previously, the CPI of the United States was leaked in advance in April, and in August, the preliminary annual benchmark revised data of the non-farm payrolls report was released more than 30 minutes after the original release time of 10: 00 a.m. The survey found that the modernization of technology and software of this institution was hindered by insufficient funds, which made it impossible to ensure that its processes and systems kept pace with technological progress. The investigation team proposed to re-plan the enterprise training for front-line staff and revise the emergency plan to reduce the risk of untimely release. It is reported that the US Bureau of Labor Statistics has removed contractors from key positions and limited these functions to federal staff.According to medical personnel, at least seven Palestinians were killed and many others were injured in the Nu Sillat refugee camp in central Gaza as a result of Israeli air strikes.The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.


An attack on a minibus in Haiti caused 8 deaths and 10 injuries. On December 10, local time, Haitian police released a report saying that a minibus was attacked by gangs in Deluge, Artibonite province on the 9 th, causing 8 deaths and 10 injuries, including 8 serious injuries. (CCTV)Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.Brent crude oil futures closed at $72.19 a barrel, up 0.07%.


The belief of high dividend has made a comeback. The dividend-themed ETF "gained weight". Recently, the dividend-themed ETF "gained good news frequently". The fund size of Huatai Bairui Dividend ETF and Huatai Bairui Dividend Low Wave ETF, the two largest dividend theme ETFs in the whole market, exceeded the 20 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan mark respectively. Huatai Berry dividend ETF has become the first dividend-themed ETF with a scale of 20 billion in the whole market. In recent years, dividend assets have attracted market attention, and the scale of dividend-themed ETF funds has doubled this year, and it has now exceeded 84 billion yuan. The institution believes that non-bank finance, real estate chain and domestic demand expansion related sectors are expected to have relative returns in the near future, and the investment sentiment in pro-cyclical sectors at the end of the year may improve, the market style may be more balanced, and dividend assets still have the value of bottom allocation. (china securities journal)General Motors (GM): The unmanned business Cruise and GM Technical team will be merged, and the plan is expected to be completed in the first half of 2025.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)

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